Golf, Snooker and Football

Its been busy here hence the lack of updates. I thought about shutting it all down, but I will get a few chances to post, just maybe not every day. But a few thoughts today, mainly on the snooker.

Anthony Kim to win the Johnnie Walker Classic 4/1 (LOST -1.00)
Kim has posted two 68s now and is 2 shots off the leader at the end of the second round. There are no established names above him so 4/1 is a good price for the young American to pick up the spoils.

10.00 Maguire to beat Swail 5-4 and 5-3 (1/2pt each) at 7/1 and 5/1 (LOST -2.00 - it did go to the wire but unfortunately went the wrong way)
Maguire snook through against Ding yesterday, coming back from 4-2 down to snatch victory and should reach the semi's today. He is 6-0 versus Joe Swail and two of those have gone to the deciding frame, including a 9-8, but the last two matches were 9-5 and 13-8 so we should cover 5-4 and 5-3.

4.00 Hamilton+2.5 legs versus Selby 8/11 (WON -1.27 - Hamilton not only covered the handicap but won 5-3)
Mark Selby is the favourite for the tournament now Ronnie is out, and I expect him to go through at 1/4, but Anthony Hamilton is in decent form and will push him all the way, so 8/11 to get 3 frames or more sounds good to me.

7.00 Fu to beat Robertson 6/5 (LOST 5-2 -2.27 - Mraco just never turned up after beating Ronnie the day before)
I backed Marco Fu yesterday at 5/2 to beat Ronnie and had virtually torn my slip up at 3-1 down when he touched 12/1 in running. But he then won 4 frames in a row to take out the world number one. These two met twice last season, drawing once in the Malta Cup and Fu winning 6-5 at the Masters, so expect a close one. But given Hills are offering odds against for Fu, that has to be snapped up.

Saturday 1.00 Derby draw no bet versus Forest 6/5 (WON 3-1 -1.07 - We should have taken the outright win, but the victory alone was sweet enough!)
Derby have been a different side since Nigel Clough's appointment, and he is finally getting the players to perform at or near their potential, while Billy Davies had a brief honeymoon period but normal service is now resumed. Derby have won their last three league games, while Forest have drawn one and lost four of their last five games in all competitions - including losing 3-2 to Derby in the cup after being 2-0 up. That will be fresh in their memories, along with how Kris Commons tore them apart. He was instrumental in Derby's 4-1 win over Blackpool on Wednesday too, and will relish another shot at his former employers. I can see Derby winning, but as it is a local Derby, maybe some caution should be urged and the 6/5 draw no bet seems the best way.

Summary / Update

After just over a year in existence the final results are in and we're in profit:


£14.11 profit
37% sucess rate (138/374)


And the outstanding bets are:
Anelka Top Scorer e/w 16/1 - currently three clear of Ronaldo and Robinho
Bent Top Scorer e/w 25/1 - with a group of seven on nine goals, one off fourth spot for the each way money
Bent to be Top Spurs Scorer 10/11 - his nine are 6 ahead of next highest scorer Pavlyuchenko
Kauto Star e/w 5/1 - As predicted Kauto romped the King George and Denman's poor return run has seen our horse go to 2/1 while Denman slumps to 11/2
Stoke to finish bottom 10/3 - the gap to West Brom was 9 points when we put this bet on. Its now just 2, and Stoke are 6/4
Stoke to be relegated 8/11 - Blackburn only need a point from their game in hand against Fulham to drop the Potters into the bottom three, and I think its those three that are there that will go down.