Saturday, January 5, 2008

Football, Racing and Golf

FA Cup 3rd round day, but the dominance of the Big 4, sides playing weakened sides and the gulf between Premiership and the rest means its lost some sparkle for me, upsets are rare these days, and they are a poor medium for betting. So I'm back to lower leagues and Scotland again for the football.

3.00 2 singles, 1 double (2/1 with Betfred) :

Rochdale bt Lincoln 4/6 (LOST 2-0 +18.14 - two quick goals on the break in second half finished this one)
Rochdale have won 5 and drawn 2 of their last 7 games and are now pushing for a playoff spot. Lincoln however have lost 4 of their last six and 9 of their 13 away games this season. I expect it to be 10 by 5pm today.

Brechin bt Berwick 4/5 (LOST +17.14 - 2-0 up with five to go, it seemed in the bag, but then out of nowhere Berwick scored twice in two minutes and snatched a draw!)
Brechin have won their last 4 games scoring 14 goals in the process, and centre half Calum Smith has scored one in each game! Berwick however have only 11 points, are rock bottom and got hammered 4-0 at next to bottom Ayr on Wednesday. They wont live with Berwick.

Double LOST +16.14

3.55 Wincanton Oniphlaure 11/10 (LOST +15.14 second. Came back at the winner when it seemed beat, but dodn't have enough to take iton again)
Alan King has a cracking record at Wincanton with hurdlers and Christia Williams rides his horses well. Won well last time out and I expect him to edge out Carlyon Bay, trained by Paul Nicholls who has won the last two runnings of this race

9.15 Weir to bt Ames 2-ball Evens (WON +16.14 - won by two shots and remains a shot clear of the field going into the final round)
We were unlucky on Day 1 as Daniel Chopra shot -4. Yesterday Chopra shot -1 and Weir went to the top of the leaderboard with -6. Stephen Ames shot -6 too, but remains a shot back of the Canadian. I expect Weir to extend his advantage today and he can be backed at Evens to do so, which has to be better than fair value!

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