Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Racing and Football

Happy New Year to you all. Hope you had a good break and didn't spend all your winnings! As if we haven't had enough football yet, there is a full programme in Scotland today and a handful of games in England, but I'm mainly concentrating on the former today.

1.30 Folkestone Jean Le Poisson 5/6 (WON +0.83 Fitzy saw him home coming from 5-6 lengths off the pace coming to the last to win by 3 lengths)
Nicky Henderson has had 9 winners from the last 16 horses he has sent to Folkestone and the 1.30 has been won by an odds on favourite 5 out of the last 7 runnings of the race. So when Nicky has an odds on favourite you can't say no.

3pm 3 singles and 1 treble (179/16 with B365, who are best price on all three) on the following:

Falkirk bt Kilmarnock 6/4 (WON 1-0 +2.33 - Early goal and late punch up, but the result was all over by then)
Falkirk started the season slowly, but have really picked up in the second round of fixtures. 9 points from the first 11 games, has been followed by 19 in 9, with the only defeats coming to Rangers and Celtic and a 1-1 draw at Hibs. Killie however look like they are in a 3-way dogfight for the next to bottom slot.

Dunfermline bt Livingston 6/4 (WON 2-0 +3.83 - 2 goals in the first 10 minutes effectively finished the match)
On paper there isn't much between these two sides but Dunfermline are unbeaten in 5 and won their last three, while Livi have lost their last three. So go with the Pars to complete a perfect Christmas period.

Raith bt Cowdenbeath 19/20 (WON 4-1 +4.78 - strong second half performance)
Raith are top of the table and won 6 out of 9 on the road, while the Blue Brazil are hovering above the relegation spots and lost their last three.

Treble 179/16 (WON +15.97)

8pm Blackburn v Sunderland - Santa Cruz 1st Goal 9/2 e/w (LOST +14.97 - subbed at half-time before Blackburn got a penalty!)
10 goals in 18 starts and 8 in his last 5 make Santa Cruz a good outside bet for top Premier League goalscorer at 14/1, and he should look to increase his tally tonight against Sunderland's defence that has only kept clean sheets at home to Martin Jol's Spurs and Derby, and conceded 26 in 10 games on the road - the same as Derby to put that in context. He scored in the reverse fixture which Blackburn won 2-1, and I expect him to hit the net again.

No comments: