Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Football

Another winner at last! And if it ain't broke don't fix it, so we'll stick with the football again tonight with a foray over the border.

7.45 Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink 1st Goal e/w (NR -2.12 - Our man didn't play)
Celtic take on Inverness for the third time in the league tonight, and with Celtic's home record and a 5-0 win at Celtic Park earlier in the season there is no value in backing them to pick up three more points. So I'm looking at the first goal market. Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink has scored 10 league goals in 21 games so far this season, but has netted 2 in both matches against ICT this season and has scored 3 in his last four outings. ICT should be easier than Barcelona so take the 7/2 with Ladbrokes each way. Their e/w terms are 1/2 the odds for first three so you have 7/2 first goal and 7/4 in the first three, which seems very fair to me.

7.45 Kilmarnock beat Gretna 6/5 (LOST -3.12 - Kenny Deuchar gets exported to the US and Gretna hit four in the first hour! Killie got two back with 7 to go, but it was too little too late, and they are in serious trouble now)
Killie's poor run since Christmas has seen them slide to next to bottom of the SPL but a good 3-1 hoem victory over Aberdeen on Saturday should give them some renewed vigour to overtake St Mirren at least, and what better fixture would you want at this point than Gretna? They have lost 5 in a row now, conceding 16, including 3-0 at home to Division 1 Morton in the FA Cup. So expect Killie to climb out the bottom three at 6/5.

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