Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Snooker and Golf

Always nice to bounce back from a couple of losing bets with a couple of winning bets. You have to remember you can't win every bet, but as long as you put the bets on for the right reasons, hopefully over time it will pay off. One of the keys to doing that is re-examining losing bets rather than basking in the glory of winning bets, and just making sure your reasoning was right or if you need to tweak it in hindsight. Not much happening today so no point in forcing bets.

Today's tips have been sponsored by The Oldham Evening Chronicle, an excellent publication however not one to follow the racing tips of. Feel free to support our sponsor and browse their memorabilia http://www.oldham-chronicle.co.uk/promotions/index.htm . I can confirm that the commemorative mugs are highly recommended for those of you who follow the tips of our sister site http://www.theanalystbets.blogspot.com/ ;-)

1.00 Judd Trump to beat Ronnie O'Sullivan 3/1 (LOST +12.73 - It looked all over at 4-1, but Judd showed his ability to get back to 4-3 and 24-22 up in the 8th, before Ronnie comiled a match winning break. This kid will be back)
Now you may think I'm getting carried away putting up an 18-year old ranked in the 40s in the world rankings against the most naturally talented players to have chalked a cue. And i admit this isn't one for big stakes. However, as we all know, things are never straightforward where Ronnie is concerned. He says he has now found a love for running, putting in over 50 miles a week and if he had to choose between that and snooker, he'd choose snooker. Would you want to back a guy who said that at 2/7? And if you backed him yesterday you know Judd Trump is no mug - he beat Joe Swail comfortably with a couple of maximums and holds the record for the youngest professional 147. He's played Ronnie at his own club in Bristol a few times so shouldn't be overawed by the occasion and may just give you the few extra quid you need to go to the florist rather than the petrol station tomorrow.

Thursday - Sunday Jim Furyk to win Northern Trust Open 22/1 each way (1/4 odds 1-2-3-4-5)
Jim Furyk is one of the world's top six players and as such will have high expectations for this week's tournaments with no T Woods in the field. In the last three seasons, Furyk has won 4 tournaments from 73 starts - 1 in 18 and they include all those that Tiger has romped. So for starters 22/1 seems generous. He has also had 19 top 3 finishes in total, that's roughly 1 in 4, so 11/2 for a top 5 spot again seems generous. As for the other Top 6 player playing, Mickelson and Stricker missed the cut in their last tournaments and Adam Scott, although finishing 1st and 2nd here in recent years, hasn't played in the US in 5 months. Justin Rose, ranked 7th, has been away just as long. So back 'T4' to keep you interested in Setanta on Sunday evening.

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