Monday, November 24, 2008

Football

Another delve into the football world after last week's near miss.

8.00 Everton to win to nil v Wigan 7/2 (LOST 1-0 -1.08 - Poor game, Everton need a new striker asap!)
Everton are slight favourites in this game today, but I think we can enhance that value by backing them to win without conceding. Firstly they have won four of their six away games this season, the loss coming at the Emirates and the draw in the middle of Hull's initial purple patch, and have picked up 12 points from their last 5 games since that loss against Arsenal. Wigan, conversely have taken just 5 points from their last seven games, and the JJB faithful have seen their team take only 5 points all season from 6 home games, and are currently 326 minutes into a goal drought. Add that to Everton finally sorting out their defence and conceding just two goals in their last four games, including wins at Bolton and West Ham, who are both looking stronger sides than the Latics. So 7/4 Everton is decent value, but 7/2 to do so without conceding sounds even more appealing.

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