Am rolling November and December into one given the low level of tips last month. And will start today with a mixed bag of tips. Read, consider and feel free to comment.
George Takei 11/1 to win and 6/4 to win without Joe Swash
I hadnt watch any of I'm a Celebrity until about 20 minutes on Wednesday night and then the last 5 minutes last night, but early on a few people were banding around George as a possible dark horse to win this. Well he's still there, and dont underestimate the Trekkie vote. Jo Swash is way too short as we've seen contests like this make a mockery of short odds before, and while Martina Navratilova will have her fans, George at 11/1 is worth a small nibble. A cover at 6/4 on him to beat the Queen of Wimbledon.
Kauto Star 5/1 e/w Cheltenham Gold Cup
So Kauto got hosed by Denman last year, and fell last time out. Would you still want to bet against him finishing in the top 3 at Cheltenham? If so, please take my bet! He travelled perfectly well and it wasn't his jumping that actually caused his fall. I don't always agree with what Paul Nicholls says, but this time I do agree that he would have won that race, and if he had he wouldn't be 5/1 now. Each way is 1/4 odds for first three, so back him now each way, before he wins the King George again and that moves shorter.
Darren Bent top Spurs scorer 10/11
Paddy Power are still offering odds on Spurs top scorer in the Premier League this season. So far Darren Bent has 7, Roman Pavlyuchenko has 3, Jenas 2, and noone else more than 1. So Bent should be short odds on? Well Paddy has him at 10/11. Even if the Russian finds his Spartak Moscow form again of a goal every other game for the rest of the season he will only get to 13, leaving Bent to need 7 in 21 games - in a 'bad' season last year he scored 6 from 11 starts and 16 sub appearances, and his Spurs career has seen him net 13 from 22 starts and 20 sub appearances. Harry likes him, and will keep starting with him. Barring injury this is the safest place to put your money now savings rates are getting slashed again.
Stoke to finish bottom 10/3
This battle, as the bookies know, is a fight between West Brom and Stoke. Yes there is seven points and five teams between the sides currently, but Stoke are so one-dimensional that managers will quickly be realising the best plan to handle that and Stoke's main attack will be blunted - many managers will watch the video of this week's League Cup game and note how Derby handled Delap's long throws. In the next two weeks, Stoke have to go to a Newcastle side who are unbeaten at home since September and then at home to Fulham who have taken 8 points from their last 4 games, and lost just one of their last 4 away games. West Brom however have Pompey tomorrow who've won just one of their last 8 eight away games then a trip to fellow relegation contenders, managerless Sunderland. So that seven point gap could easily be halved by Christmas and 3 points over half a season isn't a lot to overcome. 10/3 will look too big.
Friday, December 5, 2008
I'm A Celebrity, Horse Racing and Football
Labels:
Cheltenham Gold Cup,
Darren Bent,
George Takei,
Kauto Star,
Stoke City
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