Racing and Cricket

What a performance from the youngster Malan. I have Ladbrokes eliciting me a price on him to play for England at some point. Will let you know.

2.35 Newmarket Heart Shaped 5/2 (4th -1.41 - maybe didnt liek the ground, maybe needs 5f, maybe just isnt quite good enough for this level)
The main event today is the Falmouth, the race after this one with Darjina being taken on by Finsceal Beo, but this looks a better value bet. I don't need to tell any of you about Aiden O'Brien's record this summer - just awesome. But you may not be quite so aware of his 4 wins from 7 2-y-o runners at this meeting. Add those two facts to 4 winning favourites of this race in the last 5 years, and 5 in last 7 years, and you can see why Heart Shaped is preferable to Darjina in the following race. If O'Brien and Murtagh do come up trumps, I might wager some of the profit on Darjina but that race isnt always a favourites race, so it wont be in much size.

5.40 Warwickshire to beat Kent 6/5 (LOST -2.41 - postponed to the next night, so the weather card was negated and Darren Stevens 69 off 36 balls with Kent 98 for 5 was the difference)
You know my views on 20/20, luck, and how this is escalated in bad weather forecasts and hence why the outsiders are always worth a look. But like last night compare the form. Warwickshire topped their group with 6 wins and Kent were a 'best 3rd placed' side also with 6 wins, and Warwickshire had a slightly better net run rate. However the Bears had 2 washouts - one against bottom of the table Gloucestershire and one against a Glamorgan side who ended up with a 50/50 win/loss ratio, so it would be a reasonable assumption to make they would have won at least one of those and overall increased their net run rate. And then add in that they are at home - both sides through so far have been at home - and 6/5 looks too good to miss.