3.45 Beverley Motafarred 3/1 (LOST +19.58 - was held up near the rear and missed the kick of the first two, and despite finishing well was never going to get to them)
Two solid trends for this race - you have to go back more than 10 years to find a 3-y-o winner and, with the exception of 2004 when Splodger Mac at 66/1 touched off the 3/1 fav by a neck, every winner since 1999 has no longer than 5/1. Mesbaah has been inconsistent, although the firmer ground suits him, and so I'm going for Micky Hammond's Motafarred who ran well to win at Pontefract on good to firm in May, his second win on that ground (his other was on firm), and has been progressing nicely since.
4.40 Leicestershire beat Warwickshire 13/10 (LOST +18.58 - another high scoring game with 277 the target, and again a good start but quick wickets saw the chase fall away)
As we saw last night, Essex are a very handy one day side these days, despite being in Division Two of the Pro 40 league. They have now won 2 and tied one of their 3 games in this format, are in the final of the Friends Provident and reached the semis of the 20/20. So Leicestershires 255 runs per side tie against them last week can be franked as a good performance. And with 5 wins from 7 completed games in the FP, that result wasnt just a one off. Both FP games between these sides were affected by rain. The first was reduced to 23 overs a side and Leicestershire won. The second was interrupted and eventually abandoned 19 overs into Leicestershire's innings after a steady start and they can count themselves unlucky to lose under D/L. Warwickshire are a decent outfit, that is not to be denied, and they will be desparate not to lose their second game in this tournament after Kent took the spoils last week. But those stats for Leicestershire and a 13/10 price are too tempting.
8.45 Perth Mystic Glen e/w 7/1 (LOST +17.58 - they finished very strung out and our selection was way back)We havent been over jumps for a while, but I've spotted a nice each way opportunity north of the border tonight. Peter Niven and Brian Hughes had a nice second last night at Uttoxeter and they team up again tonight. This horse was back over hurdles for the first time in 21 months four weeks ago also at this track, and he was straight back into it. His one hurdles win came at this track too, so with the genuine possibility of him coming on for his first run at a racetrack in 6 months, a place can definitely be expected.
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