Monday, March 3, 2008

Football and Racing

So the slate's wiped clean. Welcome to March and good luck with Cheltenham ahead!

Everton to finish in Top Four 15/8
And I know I don't do long-term generally but today I see too much value in one to miss it. I mentioned it previously but now I'm tipping it. Its neck and neck with Liverpool with a game in hand and 3 pts behind. Of their last 10 Everton have Sunderland, Fulham, Derby, Birmingham, and West Ham as bankers, Arsenal and Chelsea as 'unlikelies', and the key games are the Mersyside Derby on March 30th and home to Villa on 27th April. Liverpool have to go to Arsenal and Man United, and have Man City, Blackburn and Spurs away as the potential banana skins. Its those three versus Everton's one versus Villa, that makes me think a draw on Derby day will be enough to see the blue half finish fourth and this bet come in.
However, don't rule out huge disappointment at Goodison as, for the second time, Liverpool finish fifth, win the Champions League and take Everton's spot in Europe again! I hope it doesn't my Toffee friends, but be prepared!

2.30 Stratford Gabreselassie 5/1 (LOST -1.00 - stayed on after making the pace to finish 5th, suggesting he will probably need further, but certainly worth keeping an eye on)
Not the highest quality maiden, and Jonjo O'Neill's gelding ran a decent bumper last month when coming in dsecond and that form suggests he should be in the mix here. Each way just gives insurance should he not quite be good enough. But can you not back Gebreselassie over 3000m?!?!? ;-)

4.40 Lingfield Opus Maximus Evns (WON 0.00 - ran keenly at the start again but was well up to the task and justified his short price. Maid of Ailsa is one to note for last time if they can get her out the stalls better)
Another maiden who hung on his only start so far and still only lost by a nose last Tuesday. I expect. Mark Johnston and Joe Fanning have won 4 out of their last 6 partnerships including Friday's winner Trimaran and I feel this should improve those stats again.

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