A winner at last! I'd forgotten what it feels like! But no point in wallowing in the glory. Its time to keep chipping away at that deficit.
2.10 Warwick Cornelia e/w 10/1 (3rd -18.75 - Stayed well as expected and took the third place)
This mare has improved in both her last runs over two and a half miles and Dominic Elsworthy is getting to grips with her. She showed when placed at Towcester that she handles the mud and has provided each way returns at 20/1 and 14/1 on her last two outings, whereas the three ahead of her in the market today are unproven over this trip in this going. At this price today she can be useful to have onside again.
7.45 Brighton Draw No Bet v Huddersfield 11/10 (LOST -19.75 - We never really looked like taking the money, but money back looked a reasonable chance until the late penalty, and Brighton even hit the post in injury time)
Brighton are 9th in League One, and have won or drawn 9 out of 18 away games. Huddersfield are 15th, and have drawn or lost 10 out of 18 home games. Therefore should Brighton be odds against in the draw no bet market? So is it the form that has got the layers marking them up as such? Nope. Brighton have won 3 of their last four including a win at 5th placed Walsall and at home to 2nd placed Doncaster on Saturday. Huddersfield have lost 5 of their last six meanwhile. Need more convincing? With 9 games to go the Terriers are 10 points from a playoff spot and 10 points clear of relegation, so comfortable with neither really to worry about. Brighton however will want to continue their good form as they are just one point off the playoffs with a game in hand on Walsall and two on Tranmere (6th) and Leyton Orient (7th). Get two results on your side at a decent price...
Monday, March 17, 2008
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