Monday, March 31, 2008

Racing and Football

I hope you had a good weekend and cheered home the Dark Blues on Saturday evening! Fairly sparse fare today but there are a couple of gems out there that could finish us in profit for the month!

5.10 Lingfield Ledgerwood e/w 10/1 (LOST -23.64 - looked to be in the frame with a furlong to go, but the winner finished like a train and Ledgerwood didn't finish as strongly as some)
A tricky little handicap this and there may be a few open to improvement but with 9 runners there is each way value around and for my money it looks like Ledgerwood. He won over course and distance in January and last time out at Wolverhampton probably ran a better race despite finishing second. Coming back to 8f from 9f may be enough to see him home but I certainly expect him to be in the frame.

7.45 Forest Green 0-1 Burton Albion 7/1 (LOST BOTH -25.64 - well Daryl Clare got Burton's goal, but Forest Green's two before that and one after ruined the bet!)
7.45 Daryl Clare to score first goal and 1-0 to Burton 25/1
Nigel Clough may very soon get his first crack at managing in League football. His Burton Albion side have maintained their playoff position all season and have taken 14 points from their last 6 games. And Clough has very much followed his father's plan of building from the back - if you don't concede you don't lose. In those last 6 games they have only scored 7 goals, but only conceding 1 has meant they picked up the points. Forest Green meanwhile haven't had the consitency required to make the top 5 and are now 10 points off with 7 to play - probably too many. They have lost 5 of their last 9 including to the two teams sandwiching Burton, Torquay and Cambridge. They failed to score against both those teams and have lost 4 of those 5 games by just the one goal (Cambridge beat them 2-0). So I expect Burton to continue their winning run, but a low scoring game has to be expected. So 1-0 it is. And the key to Burton's attackis Daryl Clare. He has socred 33 in 74 games for the Brewers, and has 4 in the last 9 - three of which were the first goal of the game. He's 6/1 to score the first goal, but given we have a deficit to make up for the month, why not go for the scorecast!

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