Friday, March 7, 2008

Racing and Football

Well its currently easier to pick the non inbred in a Cornwall school photo than a winner, but we shan't give up and today we're calling in the Army! My local track Sandown have their military day today and one name stands out. By the way I would like to point out that my devotion to this blog is such that I would never be seen leaving nightclubs at 12.30am four days before making a tip.

2.10 Sandown - 4 x 3-fold and 1 x 4-fold on the following : 2.10 Bonchester Bridge, 2.40 Mighty Matters, 3.15 Scots Grey, 4.25 First Love (LOST -12.00 - The first two came in, and with the last being odds on, it looked like a winner at last. But neither of the last two came through and hopes were dashed)
As mentioned above, today is the military's day at Sandown and one man stands out, Captain Jamie Snowdon. He has a 52% success rate at the Surrey course and 60% over fences. The above are his four rides today, three over fences, and he has such a good quartet that every one has a genuine chance.
Bonchester Bridge (9/4) didnt liek the going last time out over fences, but back to hurdle on good ground over the minimum trip should be the right combination of factors with our man in the saddle.
Mighty Matters (6/1) is a bit of a conundrum. Pulled up lame in January, so fitness has to be taken as given. Found 3m1f too far in GdSoft round here in December, but had won three handicap chases on the bounce before that on Good and GdFirm ground. With today's trip back at 2m4f and good going, the last two runs may be able to be discounted.
Scots Grey (11/4). Our man has won this the last three years with Paul Nicholls. Today he rides for Nicky Henderson and its this horse and Nicholls' Turthen I expect to battle it out. With the ground racing good I dont see the weight our selection is giving away to count as much as it wuld in easier going.
First Love (10/11) won this race two years ago and looks the class act again. He almost matches his rider's record round Sandown and so will probably go off a short-priced favourite

7.45 Swansea beat Millwall 1/2 (LOST -13.00 - just when you think a team has a division sewn up this season they implode! 2-1 at home to Millwall?!!?)
A chance to buy money. Swansea are running away with this division, having won 10 of their last 11 home games. Millwall are fighting against relegation and I dont expect them to get any relief tonight.

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