Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Racing and Football

No fooling around here, its time to get the month of to a good start, so Wetherby, Rome and Carlisle here we come!

2.40 Wetherby Compriznotension 11/8 (2nd -1.00 - Got taken on 3 out when he bolted towards the stables, but came back, but couldnt go witht he winner)
Howard Johnson's charge has taken well to hurdling so far and has come close on all bar his first attempt. But the key to today could be the ground. His three wins on the flat came on GS, Soft and Heavy, and today is the first time in his hurdlinig career he will encounter soft ground. With nothing else in the race that looks to stand out, that extra cut will hopefully get us off to a good start in April.

7.45 Roma +0.25 Asian Handicap to beat United 16/19 (LOST 2-0 -2.00 - didnt show the Roma we expected and United march on. How good was Ronaldo's header though???)
For the all conquering side that United portray to be they have only won 4 of their last 18 away games in Europe and Roma have proved they are no pushovers in this competition. They won both legs against Real Madrid 2-1 and drew 1-1 with United in the group stage. While United may repeat their victory at Old Trafford in the second leg, Sir Alex will be happy to go home with a draw, particularly with an away goal, and that would pay out on half our Asian bet. The other half will pay if Roma can sneak a victory and that is by no means beyond them given their home record - in all competitions they have played 21 games, won 17, drawn three and lost just one - to table toppers Inter back in September.

7.45 Carlisle to beat Forest 11/10 (LOST 2-0 -3.00 - This was in the balance til Forest grabbed two late goals and upset the formbook)
This is an unbelievable odds against bet. Carlisle currently sit in second spot in League One, and a win tonight would move them 6 points clear of third placed Doncaster with 6 to play, and 4 points behind table toppers Swansea. And the bedrock of that position has been their home form - played 18, won 16, drawn 1, lost 1 - the loss and the draw coming in their first four home games. Forest meanwhile have gone from likely promotion candidates to being in danger of missing even a playoff spot. Failure to pick up a point tonight would mean they only have a 3 point cushion over 7th place Brighton. And their current form will bne their main worry. They haven't won in 7 games and only scored 2 goals in that time. Rumours swirl off the Trent that Ian Dowie is set to replace Colin Calderwood at any moment - a move that would be popular with the fans who ran out of patience with the Scot a long time ago. Tonight could see another nail in his coffin.

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