Friday, April 4, 2008

Racing

Back in the red - if only I'd included laying Kauto in the tips! Back to the coal face today though...

4.40 Lingfield Note Perfect 9/4 (LOST -3.65 - Didnt really stay the trip and Dale Gibson picked the wrong horse it seemed!!)
Three runs at Southwell previously have yielded 3rd, 1st and 3rd. Today he carries only 1lb more than his win and Dale Gibson has chosen this over Mick Easterby's other runner. Bonny's Babe is the only other winner over this trip, but is yet to show any form on the all-weather.

8.00 Bradford -4pts to beat Hull 10/11 (WON 24-8 -2.71 - Close first half but the class told in the second half)
Bradford have two trips to Hull in consecutive weekends and if you take the raw stats of their road trips this season, you'd be forgiven for thinking they might struggle to play anywhere outside of Bradford - they have lost three of their four away games and won by just 2 points to Les Catalans. But that's a clue here. Catalans have been much improved this season, particularly at home, and the Bulls have also lost at Leeds and Wigan - hardly bad results. But the tougher away games are out the way now and Hull are a different proposition. They haven't won for 3 matches now, and their average points difference at home is -8. Bradford are a better than average Super League side so a 4 point handicap seems generous to the visitors.

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