Friday, April 25, 2008

Snooker and Rugby League

These world championship snooker matches beinig over 3 sessions don't lend themselves to this format too well, but John Higgins and Ryan Day can't be happy being split over 3 days. But we are back to three sessions again today. Meanwhile the IPL gets better and better as Roy Symonds smashes the fastest 100 so far. And dirty Leeds are in action tonight trying to reduce the amount of points they dont deserve to get back. If I were the league I'd give them back one less than they need for an automatic promotion spot. Can you believe that in the programme at Leeds all season they have been printing what they call the 'real league table' without the points deduction?

2.30 Day to beat Higgins 3/1 (WON 13-9 +16.86 - A fine comeback from the Welshman saw the reigning champion bow out meekly)
John Higgins looked like getting an unassailable lead yesterday as he raced into a 4-0 lead. But Ryan Day won 3 out of 4 after the interval and got himself back into this game. On form so far this season, and first round performances, there is little between these two and with another 17 frames potentially to play there are many twists and turns to come. So 3/1 so early in the game has to be taken advantage of, even if you lay it off at a later point.

2.30 Murphy -3.5 frames v Carter Evens (LOST 13-4 +15.86 - The biggest shock of the tournament so far, but Carter looked very assured and could cause Peter Ebdon problems in the quarter-finals)
Shaun Murphy dismantled Dave Harold quickly in the first round, while Ali Carter needed all 19 frames to dispose of journeyman Barry Hawkins, and Carter just shouldn't live with Murphy. In their last two meetings Murphy has won 6-3, so I'm expecting a 13-8 type scoreline. I may have a flutter with that at 8s, but -3.5 on the handicap is a nice insurance.

8.00 Leeds -6 to beat Hull KR 10/11 (WON +16.77 - HullKR racked up 22 points but Leeds doubled the handicap)
Hull KR have been very steady this season - no big wins, now heavy defeats, while quietly amassing 12 points from 11 games and occupying 8th position. But tonight is the acid test against a Leeds side who have conceded 100 points less than anyone else, and are also the highest scoring side, with an average points difference of 19. And with several players rested for the Challenge Cup last week, they will be firing on all cylinders to increase that points difference tonight. The layers are split on whether to offer a 6 point or 8 point handicap. Both seem too skinny to me but with no difference in odds I will be taking advantage of the -6 at 10/11.

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