Racing, Football and Rugby

We gave back a touch of Wednesday's gains yesterday as I can't quite get a winner at the racetrack, but the rugby is going very well. Same combination of bets today though, but less horses!

4.45 Lingfield Trinkila 11/1 e/w (4th +1.14 - Unfortunately due to non-runners the place money fell from first four to first three, so we missed out by nearly 2 lengths)
This is a pretty average horse, but this is a very average race! She won her maiden (her only win so far) on the all-weather at Wolverhampton and a handful of those who trailed in behind her that day have done decently on the surface and held their ratings in the 70s. Trinkila was rated 75 after that race, but has now dropped to 59 after some poor runs earlier this year. She was however 5l 3rd over 10f last month, then 5th - just a length from winning, despite being crossed and having to renew efforts with a furlong to go. Without that interference she may well have won the race and would be more than 1lb up in the weights. Nothing in the race has any better all-weather form, so if she produces that last performance 11/1 could be a nice e/w return.

7.30 Edinburgh+6 to beat Ulster 10/11 (WON +2.05 - predictably tight low-scoring game which Ulster won by just 4 points)
Ulster are rock bottom of the Magners League as the only side yet to win a game, while Edinburgh perch above them with one win under their belts. But Ulster will be in pieces after a 43-0 thrashing at the hands of Ospreys last week, while Edinburgh fought out an 11-9 defeat at the Dragons, off the back of an impressive 32-12 victory over the Scarlets the week before, while Ulster went down at home to the Dragons. On that Dragons formline there isn't much between these sides - which is probably a fair reflection, but the morale should be higher in Scotland, and Ulster have made several changes which may take some time to work. Its another one where I can see Edinburgh winning outright at 15/8 but I'll take the safe handicap option with Totesport.

7.45 League One >2.5gls Double 3/1 (WON +5.05 - 10 goals in total as Hartlepool drew 3-3 and Stockport won 3-1)
Just the two matches tonight and both look like they could provide plenty of goals. Hartlepool have scored 3 or more goals in three of their four home games this season, as well as 3 against West Brom in the League Cup. They have also conceded 13 in their 8 league games. Swindon have only failed to score once and haven't kept a clean sheet all season so more than 2.5 goals in this match looks better than the evens on offer. Stockport have also scored in all bar one league game, and are shipping an average goal a game through their own net. While their opponents tonight, high-flying Oldham have treated their travelling fans to 8 goals on the road, while conceding 5 in those four games. You can also get evens on more than 2.5 goals in this game, so doubling up gives us a tasty 3/1.