An interesting day in Switzerland after four fairly predictable results over the weekend. For spread betters out there, I reckon the market makers are over-estimating bookings. The refs all seem pretty sensible so far, and there don't seem to be any crazy directives. Not one match has had any more than 4 bookings so far, but the spread firms still have the markets in the high 40s.
3.00 Redcar Comghaire 5/2 (LOST -1.17 - led at halfway but faded and didn't get home)
This fillie showed a lot of promise when third in a claimer last time out, and hence was claimed. His trainer had a winner in a claimer yesterday, and I've mentioned before I like Tom Eaves as a jockey. Inca Slew is the pick of Pat Haslam's trio and is the danger for me, but the whole package of Comghaire gives me confidence to plump for this one.
5.00 Torres 1st Goal 9/2 e/w (LOST -2.17 - what price Spain to score 4 and Torres not score at least one?!? If they keep playing like that though his goals will come)
I don't need to tell you how good Fernando Torres is. The question really is Will the real Spain turn up at last? There's a growing belief they will, and if so, Torres is a good bet for golden boot at 7/1. He's a poacher, a finisher, and a self-creater, and could be the key to Spain going all the way. Bet365 offer 1/3 odds for all goals scored as e/w terms, so 6/4 Torres to score at any time seems good value to me.
5.30 Redcar South Wales 6/1 e/w (2nd -1.92 - from halfway it looked like he might win this, but was just a nek short in the end. Good performance though)
Stuart Williams' charge didn't show anything on the all-weather around the mile distance, but my ex-trainer is shrewd and moved the gelding up to 10 furlongs on turf and he took to it really well. Nicky Mackay rides again, and while there are several in the field with chances, SC could be picking up another winner. If the price starts coming in, I'll be doubly sure!
Tuesday, June 10, 2008
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