Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Tennis and Racing

A profitable day to start the month, and I hope some of you got the SP on our bumper winner. Remember Bet365 will give you the better odds of the price at the time or the SP, so your 3/1 early price would have paid the 11/2 SP on that one. Big sporting weekend ahead, so lets try and build up some kitty...

2.00 Fernando Gonzalez +7games v Roger Federer 5/6 (WON +1.83 - Gonzalez took the first set so the final margin was 5 games)
On clay, Federer's average supremacy over Gonzalez is 7.5 games, but Fernando is playing some of his best tennis in a long time, and while I don't seeing him upsetting the formbook, I can see him making it less than easy for the Fed and maybe nicking a set. Bet365 offer Gonzo+6.5games, but Sportingbet go with +7 and if its 7 games the bet is void. So Fed needs to win by 8 games for us to lose.

5.30 Fontwell Massini Moon 5/2 (LOST +0.83 - the leaders went away from our horse with a furlong to go although he did stay on well for 3rd)
Yes, ok another bumper! But Gary Moore's horse ran very well last week, and with the inexperience of the rest of the field, looks a good bet to go one better here today.

6.40 Kempton Spoof Master e/w 5/1 (LOST -0.17 - led into the final furlong but was edged out of it in the run-in, finishing 5th 1.5 lengths back)
6 places in his last 7 runs, all over 5 furlongs, and two at Kempton. Still not moved up in the weights and so has real chances of a win tonight, but will surely be in the mix of this 12-runner handicap. Remember its 1/4 odds 1-2-3 if there are no non-runners.

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